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Bitcoin
The world’s second-largest cryptocurrency finds itself caught in a powerful downdraft, pressured by a confluence of escalating geopolitical tensions and shifting macroeconomic expectations. While the price action paints a picture of panic, a deeper look at blockchain data reveals a significant divergence: a wave of strategic accumulation is occurring even as leveraged traders are forced to exit.
Market analysts described early February trading as a “bloodbath” triggered by multiple stressors. A primary catalyst has been the worsening tensions between the U.S. and Iran, driving a global flight to safety that heavily impacts risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Compounding this, President Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has stoked Wall Street concerns over the potential for a more aggressive monetary tightening policy.
This uncertainty met with typically thin weekend trading volume, creating a cascade effect. Reports indicate that approximately $2.5 billion worth of positions were forcibly liquidated across the market. This domino effect pushed Ethereum to a fresh 52-week low, touching around $2,099. Since the start of the year, Ether’s value has declined by more than 30 percent.
As smaller investors and leveraged traders were washed out, major holders exhibited markedly different behavior. Data from Binance Square confirms that so-called “whales” increased their holdings by nearly 4 million ETH in January. Furthermore, Bitmine Immersion Technologies, the largest corporate Ethereum treasury, capitalized on the price weakness by acquiring almost 42,000 ETH in the preceding week.
Activity from Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin, however, captured significant attention. Buterin divested holdings in recent days, transferring funds to his charitable organization, Kanro. While these sales are primarily for philanthropic purposes, their timing amid a sharp market downturn has contributed to unease among already nervous investors.
Despite the dramatic price collapse, key network metrics tell a contrary story. The number of daily transactions recently hit an all-time high, as did the count of active addresses. Tom Lee of Bitmine emphasizes that the network’s fundamental data continues to grow robustly, suggesting the current price plunge is almost exclusively due to external, non-fundamental factors.
The picture from the ETF sector is mixed. While products from Fidelity and VanEck experienced outflows, the ETFs offered by BlackRock and Grayscale gathered fresh capital at the start of the week. This pattern indicates that institutional investors are assessing the current price range with a nuanced perspective.
Short-term sentiment on prediction markets, however, remains skeptical. Traders are currently assigning only a low probability to Ethereum reclaiming the $5,000 level before the year ends. The path forward now depends heavily on whether the geopolitical landscape stabilizes and if the strong underlying network usage can refocus investor attention in the medium term.
Despite securing significant regulatory approvals and advancing its real-world asset tokenization initiatives, Ripple’s native XRP token has faced substantial selling pressure. The digital asset shed approximately 20% of its value last week, demonstrating a clear disconnect between corporate progress and token price performance. Market skepticism currently overshadows the operational growth of the company.
On February 2, 2026, Ripple announced it had obtained a full Electronic Money Institution (EMI) license from Luxembourg’s regulatory authority. This move converted a prior preliminary approval into an operational status, allowing the firm to scale its payment services across the European Union. This development followed a similar regulatory green light from United Kingdom authorities in January.
With a global portfolio now exceeding 75 licenses, Ripple has established itself as one of the most heavily regulated entities in the cryptocurrency sector. The strategic aim is a broader deployment of its “Ripple Payments” solution for banks and financial technology companies.
Analysts highlight a fundamental issue: Ripple’s business successes do not directly translate into increased demand for the XRP token itself. Currently trading near $1.60, XRP remains far from its 52-week high. Many of the newly licensed payment services can theoretically function without mandating the use of XRP as a bridge currency for settlement.
Broader market sentiment has also deteriorated. Since mid-January, on-chain data has indicated rising flows of XRP onto exchange platforms—a pattern historically viewed as a precursor to selling pressure. Even the substantial inflows into XRP-related Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which have surpassed $1.3 billion since their launch in November 2025, have failed to counteract the recent downward trend.
Recent project announcements have similarly failed to stimulate positive price action. In one notable development, certified diamonds valued at $280 million were tokenized on the XRP Ledger in the United Arab Emirates. Concurrently, the Moscow Exchange has revealed plans to introduce XRP futures contracts for qualified investors.
The short-term outlook remains challenging. Historical performance data suggests February has often been a weak month for XRP, typically generating negative average returns. Amid a broader cryptocurrency market correction, Ripple’s regulatory victories appear insufficient, for now, to act as a primary catalyst for the token’s price.
The Solana token finds itself navigating turbulent market conditions, having recently fallen below the psychologically significant $100 threshold. This decline, which saw SOL trading at $91.01, reflects a confluence of institutional caution and revised analyst projections. Notably, this price action stands in stark contrast to the network’s robust operational performance, highlighting a growing divergence between fundamental usage and market valuation.
A significant factor contributing to the current uncertainty is a revised outlook from Standard Chartered. Analysts, led by Geoffrey Kendrick, have adjusted their year-end 2026 price target downward to $250 from a previous estimate of $310. The bank cites slower-than-anticipated adoption in key sectors, specifically within micropayments and stablecoin utilization, as the primary reason for this near-term correction.
Despite this adjustment, Standard Chartered maintains a bullish long-term view. The institution reaffirmed its ambitious $2,000 price target for 2030, anticipating that Solana will ultimately benefit from high-throughput commercial applications. However, the analysts caution that for the 2026-2027 period, SOL may underperform relative to its main competitor, Ethereum.
The breach below $100 represents a notable shift in market structure, with SOL posting a seven-day loss of approximately 28%. Several interconnected factors are driving the downward momentum:
Perhaps the most striking aspect of the current situation is the disconnect between network activity and token price. From a fundamental perspective, Solana’s metrics remain strong. In January 2026, the network led the decentralized exchange (DEX) landscape with a formidable $117.7 billion in trading volume. This intense usage for transactions and trading, however, is failing to translate into positive price action. Market experts describe this phenomenon as a decoupling of fee generation from direct token demand.
With current prices, Solana is testing a crucial support band between $90 and $95. Observers warn that a confirmed breakdown below $88 could open the path toward lower liquidity zones around $78 to $80. To neutralize the immediate downtrend, a swift recovery and consolidation above the $100 to $102 resistance area would be required.
The Ethereum network is weathering one of its most severe corrections in recent memory. A cascade of forced liquidations has exerted dramatic downward pressure on its price, erasing billions in market capitalization. While short-term speculators are being washed out and panic grips the market, on-chain analytics reveal a counterintuitive trend among major holders.
Amid the price chaos, institutional groundwork continues to advance. Market observers note that BlackRock submitted an application for a staking ETF, the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust, back in December. With Paul Atkins now serving as the new SEC Chairman, analysts anticipate a more accommodating regulatory approach compared to the Gensler era, potentially improving the approval prospects for such financial products.
Ethereum’s technical posture appears critically damaged. The price of Ether established a fresh 52-week low, trading at $2,132.71. Weekly losses now approach a staggering 30%. Market experts highlight that key momentum indicators remain deeply oversold. Furthermore, the Ethereum-to-Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio has collapsed to new cycle lows, signaling that the cryptocurrency is significantly underperforming the market leader, Bitcoin.
The sharp decline was ignited by a chain reaction in the derivatives market. On February 1, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency shed approximately 17% of its value in a single 24-hour window. This plunge triggered over $2 billion in total market liquidations, with Ethereum positions accounting for roughly $900 million of that sum. The pain was concentrated among bullish traders: an estimated 80% to 85% of the forcibly closed positions were long bets anticipating higher prices.
The severity of the move is exemplified by the reported liquidation of prominent crypto trader Garrett Jin. His leveraged long position, valued at $900 million, was completely wiped out, resulting in a realized loss of about $250 million. Such incidents underscore the thin liquidity during the overlap of Asian and U.S. trading sessions, which accelerated the selling pressure.
Interestingly, the massive selling on futures exchanges stands in stark contrast to the activity of long-term investors. On-chain data from Santiment indicates that so-called “whales”—addresses holding substantial balances—aggressively used the January price decline to accumulate. Throughout the month, these large investors gathered nearly 4 million additional ETH, boosting their collective holdings from around 101 million to over 105 million ETH.
The immediate outlook, however, remains precarious. With the previous support level near $2,200 now broken, market attention has shifted to the crucial zone around $2,000. A failure to hold this psychological barrier risks extending the correction further until the market fully recovers from the massive leverage unwind.
Gold Prices Retreat as US-Iran Talks Approach Amidst Tensions
Gold faced significant downward pressure on Thursday, with its spot price falling sharply below the $4,900 per ounce threshold. Market sentiment is turning cautious ahead of scheduled discussions between the United States and Iran, set for Friday. The potential for these negotiations to falter before substantive progress is made is fueling investor anxiety. A core disagreement looms: Iran insists on talks focused solely on its nuclear program, while Washington is pushing for a broader agenda.
Oman Negotiations Begin Under a Cloud
The talks, planned for February 6 in Oman, are already a point of contention. Reports highlighting fundamental disagreements on the topics for discussion leave little room for optimism. Rather than easing geopolitical strains, military posturing and entrenched positions are amplifying market uncertainty, which is typically a supportive environment for the precious metal.
Key Market Movements:
* The spot price for gold declined by 2.26% to $4,852.59.
* A strengthening US dollar made dollar-denominated bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.
* Silver prices experienced a severe sell-off, ending a two-day recovery phase.
* Extreme price volatility reflects the current nervous trading environment.
Currency Dynamics and Central Bank Watch
A firmer US dollar created an additional headwind for gold. Meanwhile, market participants are also focused on the European Central Bank’s policy meeting held on Thursday. Analysts widely anticipated that interest rates would be held steady at 2.0%, following a drop in Eurozone inflation to 1.7% in January.
Long-Term Bullish Outlook Endures
Despite short-term turbulence, major financial institutions maintain their positive long-term forecasts for gold. Wells Fargo notably raised its price target for late 2026 on February 4, projecting a range of $6,100 to $6,300 per ounce. Similarly, Deutsche Bank forecasts prices could reach as high as $6,000 within the year.
Ongoing central bank acquisitions continue to provide fundamental support for the market. Global central banks were net buyers of 230 tonnes of gold in the fourth quarter of 2025, an increase from the 218 tonnes purchased in the previous quarter.
The market is currently navigating a volatile period of price discovery after hitting a record high near $5,600 in late January. This week’s extreme swings—from a plunge below $4,500 to a recovery above $5,000 on Wednesday—highlight the prevailing skittishness. In the immediate term, the outcome of the Oman negotiations is likely to set the directional tone for gold.